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» Cruise Talk   » Cruise Lines   » Hurricanes set to disrupt cruise line bookings

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Author Topic: Hurricanes set to disrupt cruise line bookings
bulbousbow
First Class Passenger
Member # 4440

posted 03-17-2006 07:56 AM      Profile for bulbousbow   Author's Homepage   Email bulbousbow   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Hurricanes set to spoil cruise party
March 17, 2006

PERSISTENT hurricane disruptions of Caribbean cruise itineraries in 2004-2005 may finally begin to have a negative effect on bookings as the 2006 storm season looms. Speaking at the Seatrade Cruise Shipping conference in Miami, Norwegian Cruise Line itinerary planning director Rick Strunck asserted: “I think that beginning this August, September and October, we’ll start to see a period of booking weakness.” The weakness in booking patterns is likely to last several years, he estimates. Consumer fears over last-minute alterations to port calls will override the ability of ships to safely avert storms, Struck explained. NOAA researcher Stanley Goldenberg pointed out that Caribbean hurricane activity has been five times higher than normal over recent years. This intense storm activity may last for the next 10-40 years, he said. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd regional vice president Michael Ronan called for co-ordination between cruise lines and local public and private sector leaders to bring key storm-struck destinations back to strength as quickly as possible.

Fairplay


******

Cheers


Posts: 6866 | From: Adelaide, Australia | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged
dmwnc1
Cruise Director
Member # 3785

posted 03-17-2006 05:43 PM      Profile for dmwnc1   Email dmwnc1   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Yeah! Another whole season of posts reading "My cruise was ruined because..."


Posts: 5650 | From: Clarksburg WV | Registered: Apr 2003  |  IP: Logged
Pascal
First Class Passenger
Member # 5510

posted 03-18-2006 07:29 AM      Profile for Pascal     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
They will be compelled to reposition some of their ships in "storm free" regions if they want to keep a good level of booking during those months. For example, we may expect more ships in the Med which is quite warm untill the end of October.
Posts: 1371 | From: Aix en Provence | Registered: Mar 2005  |  IP: Logged
sealeg claude
First Class Passenger
Member # 5565

posted 03-19-2006 12:40 AM      Profile for sealeg claude   Email sealeg claude   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hi,
Right on.!!!!! We may see the WestCoast -deployed fleet hang around another 3-4 weeks in similar fashion; I further think we may see earlier than usual SouthAmerica itineraries.

All in all, yes, the lines simply have to stay away more than before from hurricane-prone areas and time windows.

I like your concept of a month long prolongation of the Med season.

Another concept;; ideal time for scheduling drydock downtime for the lines' fleet.

Cheers
CG


Posts: 173 | From: vancouver, b.c. Canada | Registered: Apr 2005  |  IP: Logged
bmajor
First Class Passenger
Member # 1754

posted 03-19-2006 12:51 AM      Profile for bmajor   Email bmajor   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hurricanes happen.
I have been watching the bridge cam of Pacific Star this afternoon as she has been thrown around by Tropical Cyclone Larry in the Whitsundays.The passengers may end up with a Mystery Cruise if the Captain chooses to avoid the area.

Posts: 1371 | From: Orewa.New Zealand. | Registered: Jan 2001  |  IP: Logged
bulbousbow
First Class Passenger
Member # 4440

posted 03-19-2006 06:11 PM      Profile for bulbousbow   Author's Homepage   Email bulbousbow   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
bmajor wrote:
Hurricanes happen. I have been watching the bridge cam of Pacific Star this afternoon as she has been thrown around by Tropical Cyclone Larry in the Whitsundays.The passengers may end up with a Mystery Cruise if the Captain chooses to avoid the area.

I wonder if the frequency (and intensity) of cyclones has increased in Australia like the Caribbean has seen recently. Let's say they happened more often, where would they re-route those cruises? Would they homeport them in Auckland instead of Sydney/Brisbane or would it make no difference?

******

Cheers


Posts: 6866 | From: Adelaide, Australia | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged
bulbousbow
First Class Passenger
Member # 4440

posted 05-23-2006 07:59 AM      Profile for bulbousbow   Author's Homepage   Email bulbousbow   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
NOAA forecasts another stormy season
May 23, 2006

THE US National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has warned that “a very active hurricane season is looming” in its official 2006 forecast yesterday. NOAA administrator Conrad Lautenbacher predicted during a press conference that there could be 13-16 named storms in the Atlantic Basin, with 8-10 growing to hurricane strength, between four and six of which could be "major" storms of Category 3 strength or higher. “Although NOAA is not forecasting a repeat of last year's season, the potential for hurricanes striking the US is high," said Lautenbacher. The record-breaking 2005 season produced an astonishing 28 named storms, 15 hurricanes and seven major hurricanes, four of which struck the US. Hurricane season officially begins 1 June and extends on 30 November. Since the latest multi-decadal cycle of heavy hurricane activity began in 1995, only two seasons (1997 and 2002) have been below average. The NOAA’s new predictions mirror an earlier forecast by Dr William Gray, who has warned of “an above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean” during the 2006 season.

Fairplay


******

Cheers


Posts: 6866 | From: Adelaide, Australia | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged
gpcruisedude
First Class Passenger
Member # 3533

posted 05-23-2006 12:48 PM      Profile for gpcruisedude   Email gpcruisedude   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Talking about more ships on the West Coast during hurricane season... I believe it has already been done on the Alaska run anyways!! Celebrity and HAL have already extended their West Coast seasons by doing sampler cruises in early May and between mid Sept-midOct!
Posts: 865 | From: Grande Prairie,Alberta | Registered: Dec 2002  |  IP: Logged
Frosty 4
First Class Passenger
Member # 5826

posted 05-26-2006 10:39 AM      Profile for Frosty 4   Email Frosty 4   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Maybe the hurricanes will sink Mexico and they will get rid of all the cruises that go there!!!! Huricanes don't seem to affect the east coast of South America. Say from Devils Island to Rio. The only problem would be flying down there if hurricanes affect the air routes. Even last Feb. which by all standards should be a calm trip ,our flight from Atlanta to Santiago Chile was bouncy and very uncomfortable.
Frosty 4

Posts: 2531 | From: Illinois | Registered: Jul 2005  |  IP: Logged
Panos
First Class Passenger
Member # 1022

posted 05-27-2006 05:39 PM      Profile for Panos     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
So, is there a stadard procedure that cruiseshipd always divert away fro hurricanes or are there any cases when the ship sails through (when the intensity is not so strong).

Have there been any cases where passengers were at risk?

If not, why doesn't everybody travel that season so they can take advantage of the attractive fares?


Posts: 443 | From: Cyprus | Registered: Jan 2000  |  IP: Logged
bulbousbow
First Class Passenger
Member # 4440

posted 05-28-2006 12:42 AM      Profile for bulbousbow   Author's Homepage   Email bulbousbow   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Panos wrote:
So, is there a stadard procedure that cruiseshipd always divert away fro hurricanes or are there any cases when the ship sails through (when the intensity is not so strong).

I think hurricanes are avoided without question. Tropical storms would be a different matter, the captain would use his/her discretion.

******

Cheers


Posts: 6866 | From: Adelaide, Australia | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged

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