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Author Topic: NCL in Trouble?
Malcolm @ cruisepage
Cruise Director
Member # 301

posted 03-02-2007 03:10 PM      Profile for Malcolm @ cruisepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
So after the recent press release are NCL really in serious financial trouble?

Will the NCL America operation be slimmed down or scrapped?

Do we have anymore information?


Posts: 19210 | From: Essex (Just Outside London) | Registered: A Long Time Ago!  |  IP: Logged
mike sa
First Class Passenger
Member # 5957

posted 03-03-2007 12:50 AM      Profile for mike sa   Author's Homepage   Email mike sa   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
If it were not for the fact that NCL is in effect privately owned (albeit that Star is a traded company but still majority owned ) then yes they would be, it all depends how long Mr Thingy (sorry can't remember his name) will accept and pay for NCLs results.

Obviously NCL is hoping that moving PO Aloha to a 10 day route will make some difference - probably will but not enough I think. They also have to address issues with NCL proper as NCLA is by far not their only problem.


Posts: 2272 | From: Durban, South Africa | Registered: Sep 2005  |  IP: Logged
Malcolm @ cruisepage
Cruise Director
Member # 301

posted 03-03-2007 06:40 AM      Profile for Malcolm @ cruisepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by mike sa:
Obviously NCL is hoping that moving PO Aloha to a 10 day route will make some difference...

The UK NCL web site says that they expect the 10 day routes to be more attractive to UK and European passengers.

I did complain only a few days ago that the NCL UK web site did NOT offer on-line packages with flights included. They now seem to be addressing this.

Hawaii certainly is a long way for a Brit to go for one week. Unfortunately the flights cost more than the cruise.

quote:
Originally posted by mike sa:
They also have to address issues with NCL proper as NCLA is by far not their only problem.

It's odd, because the new hardware is certainly impressive, it'd their human resources which seem to be suspect at times.

[ 03-03-2007: Message edited by: Malcolm @ cruisepage ]


Posts: 19210 | From: Essex (Just Outside London) | Registered: A Long Time Ago!  |  IP: Logged
NWLB
First Class Passenger
Member # 1987

posted 03-03-2007 04:13 PM      Profile for NWLB   Author's Homepage   Email NWLB   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hopes keeps people wanting to move ahead, but it doesn't pay the bills.

I think NCL may well muddle along for years to come, and always be the also-ran among the major lines. I don't think the line will die from being slowly boiled. I think if anything does it in, it will be a sudden implosion. Some major event, or change in direction by Star.

If they could, I think Star would sell the line off. However, I wonder if a doomsday scenario came to pass, if they might not just sell-off the ships to whomever would buy them.


Posts: 329 | From: Bowling Green, Ohio | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
bulbousbow
First Class Passenger
Member # 4440

posted 03-03-2007 09:02 PM      Profile for bulbousbow   Author's Homepage   Email bulbousbow   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Malcolm, how well known are NCL in the UK and continental Europe?

******

Cheers


Posts: 6866 | From: Adelaide, Australia | Registered: Feb 2004  |  IP: Logged
Carruthers
Just Boarded
Member # 6295

posted 03-04-2007 01:49 AM      Profile for Carruthers        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I believe that the same Maylaysian Company that owns NCL and Star Cruises also owns Orient Lines with its only ship Marco Polo. The reported financial problems could explain the recent spate of reports on service decline and poor food on board the MP
Posts: 1 | From: Perth Western Australia | Registered: Feb 2006  |  IP: Logged
Malcolm @ cruisepage
Cruise Director
Member # 301

posted 03-04-2007 05:38 AM      Profile for Malcolm @ cruisepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by bulbousbow:
Malcolm, how well known are NCL in the UK and continental Europe?

Although NCL have tended to concentrate on American waters, they are still pretty well known in Europe.

NCL send 'Norwegian Dream' each summer to do cruises from Dover UK to the Baltic with some of our cheapest fares offered by any line. However we only see their newbuilds for the occasional promotional cruises.

The SS Norway used to visit the UK each summer for Fjord cruises etc, before she was permanently placed in the Caribbean. The UK has NCL TV adverts and their brochures are in all our Travel Agencies.

NCL newbuilds are currently operating in the Mediterranean and probably doing very well? In fact their recent press release identified European cruise growth but Caribbean decline (or at least stagnation). There's probably easier money to be made in the Med than in Hawaii. I bet they are more able to maintain higher fares.

RCI have probably developed a stronger profile in Europe and the UK than NCL. Sending both the UK and Europe 'Voyager' class ships, show their optimism and commitment.

If NCL want a slice of the worlds second biggest cruise market (the UK), they need to send us a new ship for the summer season.

[ 03-04-2007: Message edited by: Malcolm @ cruisepage ]


Posts: 19210 | From: Essex (Just Outside London) | Registered: A Long Time Ago!  |  IP: Logged
DAMBROSI
First Class Passenger
Member # 100

posted 03-04-2007 08:59 PM      Profile for DAMBROSI   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
To me this reads as the execs need to do some heavy reevalution of their present circumstances. NCL has a good product. But, they need to do more homework and not be dawdling on what if's and take a look around. I know all the of the lines want to have their own identities..even Carnival allows that with all they own and so does RCI with the brands they own. But, this is not a situation that will be easily remedied. They need to get their thoughts together and see about their business, even if it means they hire an outside firm to help. And it must be cost effective as well as pleasing to their passengers in order to make money. Otherwise, if they have ships being currently in production...the hulls may end up sitting there or someone will purchase them. We'll just have to see.
Posts: 2554 | From: Florida, USA, Where the Legend SS NORWAY sailed from. Moving back to FL next yr. | Registered: May 99  |  IP: Logged
cruisemole
First Class Passenger
Member # 2459

posted 03-05-2007 04:44 AM      Profile for cruisemole   Email cruisemole   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Fish rot from the head down.
Posts: 343 | From: dear ol'blighty | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
Malcolm @ cruisepage
Cruise Director
Member # 301

posted 03-05-2007 07:15 AM      Profile for Malcolm @ cruisepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I’m not a management guru, but NCL seem to have expended on too many fronts, too quickly.

Eight new ships, more to follow, plus two mega ships by the end of the decade, including a fleet of three NCL America ships, and berthing fees for a couple of rusty old vintage ships.

Why on earth invest in three NCL America ships so quickly, when they could have tested the market with one ship, refined the product and added additional tonnage when they were sure that there was the demand.

In addition there has been criticism of NCL's food, service and efficiency of the 'freestyle' system since its introduction, especially on NCLA ships, but generally across the fleet.

They have some great new tonnage but a lot of issues to address.

[ 03-05-2007: Message edited by: Malcolm @ cruisepage ]


Posts: 19210 | From: Essex (Just Outside London) | Registered: A Long Time Ago!  |  IP: Logged
BigUFan
First Class Passenger
Member # 1382

posted 03-05-2007 06:02 PM      Profile for BigUFan   Author's Homepage   Email BigUFan   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I agree, Malcolm. That was the first thing I thought when I saw the title of this post.

It seems like Star has spent too much money too quickly with all these newbuilds, and the rapid expansion has not been a good thing for them. And as you say, with their quality issues still being a problem, not many people, myself included, are finding that they really want to spend the money on one of the NCL ships. The experience is not justifying the cost.

Anyone have a guess as to who will be first in line to claim the spoils of disaster?

[ 03-05-2007: Message edited by: BigUFan ]


Posts: 904 | From: Orlando, FL | Registered: Jun 2000  |  IP: Logged
PamM
First Class Passenger
Member # 2127

posted 03-05-2007 07:23 PM      Profile for PamM   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
If NCL had not embarked on a series on newbuilds everyone would be ranting about their out dated fleet. They have the backing behind them and I doubt there will be any spoils to pick up.

I have no issues at all with their newbuilds and I enjoy 'Freestyle', never had a bad meal. In fact on any ship/cruiseline one is fed far better than one could possibly hope to eat out on land for the same cost. There are so many choices of dishes available for every meal how can someone not find anything to their liking?

NCLA may be a different matter, I have not tested the waters. Some of the reviews are however mind boggling in that every little thing is nit picked to death, so one can only take those with a pinch of salt.

Pam


Posts: 12176 | From: Cambridge, UK | Registered: Jun 2001  |  IP: Logged
lasuvidaboy
First Class Passenger
Member # 4527

posted 03-05-2007 07:35 PM      Profile for lasuvidaboy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by PamM:

NCLA may be a different matter, I have not tested the waters. Some of the reviews are however mind boggling in that every little thing is nit picked to death, so one can only take those with a pinch of salt.

Pam


I have also wondered about the poor reports about the poor service and food on NCLA. It is similar to people constantly complaining about air travel in the States. I use to fly over 100k miles per year for work and rarely had a bad flight or nasty flt. attendant . The complaints seem to come from people who take one flight a year to visit granny or go on vacation and all hell seems to break loose for them once they get to the airport.


Posts: 7654 | From: Hollywood Hills/L.A. | Registered: Mar 2004  |  IP: Logged
Malcolm @ cruisepage
Cruise Director
Member # 301

posted 03-05-2007 07:52 PM      Profile for Malcolm @ cruisepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by lasuvidaboy:
I have also wondered about the poor reports about the poor service and food on NCLA.

Although I think that some people have jumped on a "lets complain about NCLA" band-wagon, the number of less than satisfactory reports from the outset has fuelled this trend.

Even if the reports of poor service and mediocre food are over exaggerated, they have not done NCL's reputation much good.


Posts: 19210 | From: Essex (Just Outside London) | Registered: A Long Time Ago!  |  IP: Logged
BigUFan
First Class Passenger
Member # 1382

posted 03-05-2007 07:59 PM      Profile for BigUFan   Author's Homepage   Email BigUFan   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by PamM:
If NCL had not embarked on a series on newbuilds everyone would be ranting about their out dated fleet. They have the backing behind them and I doubt there will be any spoils to pick up.

Understood, but I question the methodology of their bombardment approach. And if their backing is so great, why is it that they appear to be in financial trouble?

quote:
Some of the reviews are however mind boggling in that every little thing is nit picked to death, so one can only take those with a pinch of salt.

This can be true of any line apparently, because even on this forum in the reader review area, I've read a number of negative reviews of Holland America, and I had always been lead to believe that they were top notch. I think it comes down to cruises being highly subjective experiences. And of course, some people will complain about anything.


Posts: 904 | From: Orlando, FL | Registered: Jun 2000  |  IP: Logged
Globaliser
First Class Passenger
Member # 4153

posted 03-06-2007 11:45 AM      Profile for Globaliser     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by lasuvidaboy:
I have also wondered about the poor reports about the poor service and food on NCLA. It is similar to people constantly complaining about air travel in the States. I use to fly over 100k miles per year for work and rarely had a bad flight or nasty flt. attendant .
If you were flying > 100K miles pa for work on domestic US flights, would it be safe to assume that you were in first class for many of them?

I fly about 100K miles pa, mostly down the back, and I know where not to expect good inflight service.


Posts: 1869 | From: UK | Registered: Sep 2003  |  IP: Logged
lasuvidaboy
First Class Passenger
Member # 4527

posted 03-06-2007 02:28 PM      Profile for lasuvidaboy     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Globaliser:
If you were flying > 100K miles pa for work on domestic US flights, would it be safe to assume that you were in first class for many of them?


Depended on the length of the flight. Usually business on three class to JFK and sometimes 1st and economy as well. United treats me very well and I can honestly say I had very few bad trips but my Mileage Plus rating (1K-1K Million) may help. For short hauls on the west coast and to Mexico we use Alaska which is an excellent smaller airline but we generally stick w/Star Alliance carriers. We flew one class JetBlue several times between BUR and JFK.


Posts: 7654 | From: Hollywood Hills/L.A. | Registered: Mar 2004  |  IP: Logged
Elizabeth
First Class Passenger
Member # 142

posted 03-06-2007 07:00 PM      Profile for Elizabeth   Email Elizabeth   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hi Folks

We have cruised on the Norwegian Wind twice in the last two years and we were very happy with both cruises. Although we are not fans of freestyle cruising when the ship is full, we could not fault the service, food or indeed the ship at all. It is a shame that they are in financial trouble as they produce a good product at a very reasonable price.

We have started to see advertising campaigns in Australia for the NCL Hawaiian cruises and some travel companies are putting together attractive packages to Hawaii including the cruise, airfares and land content. This is a good move for NCL with the cruising industry growing at a rate of 20% a year in Australia.


Posts: 177 | From: New England Region N.S.W. Australia | Registered: A Long Time Ago!  |  IP: Logged
mike sa
First Class Passenger
Member # 5957

posted 03-10-2007 02:02 AM      Profile for mike sa   Author's Homepage   Email mike sa   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Star stock fell by 19% this week.
Posts: 2272 | From: Durban, South Africa | Registered: Sep 2005  |  IP: Logged
borntocruise
First Class Passenger
Member # 2531

posted 03-10-2007 01:34 PM      Profile for borntocruise   Email borntocruise   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Let me start by saying 'My wife and I are NOT fans of Freestyle cruising'. We just prefer tranditional dining. We were on the Pride of America in December and can't say enough good things about the cruise. Our biggest complaint was that our vacation was extremely hectic. No sea days, in port every day up at the crack of dawn. I never thought I'd complain about no sea days as we love port intensive cruises. We ate in several different venues and I only ate in the dining room once the entire cruise and that was when my wife and her sister went to a luau in Maui. All the other restaurants provided good to excellent meals. Our cabin was cared for regularly IF you use the dialing system. One evening my sister-in-law failed to turn the dial to turn down bed and we almost missed getting service. I for one look forward to the 10 and 11 day Hawaii island cruise. The only issue is the it is the Pride of Aloha, ex. Norwegian Sky, I much rather cruise on the Pride of America or Pride of Hawaii.

[ 03-10-2007: Message edited by: borntocruise ]


Posts: 29 | From: Tacoma, WA | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Frosty 4
First Class Passenger
Member # 5826

posted 03-10-2007 05:34 PM      Profile for Frosty 4   Email Frosty 4   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Some friends complained about the "free style" dining in that you could never get seated if you where only 2. they wanted groups of six and you could rarely go to a room of your choice. In some case never getting in some of the popular ones.Always full.
I like the Princess idea of your choice dining. They still maintain the traditional 1st and 2nd seating but we like the Idea of going at about 7:00PM giving us time in case we get back late from an excursion hence no rush to the dining room.Never a problem.
NCL seems to have a personnel problem with high turn over in Hawaii due to the need for an all American crew thanks to the Jones Act. Probably they don't pay enough and let's face it all the folks come from the islands by enlarge.
Frosty 4

Posts: 2531 | From: Illinois | Registered: Jul 2005  |  IP: Logged
sealeg claude
First Class Passenger
Member # 5565

posted 03-12-2007 01:17 AM      Profile for sealeg claude   Email sealeg claude   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Good evening,

The is a basic principle at play here....You need to fill berths, with good enough yields, to cover your expenses, which themselves have to be controlled rigidly.
Sounds simple, and yet, NOTHING good happens if this does not play out right.
For NCL // NCLA, expenses have been perhaps a bit uncontrolled, and yields have been notoriously low. The outcome is predictable.
There is no such thing as a bottomless pit of $$$ to ''make up '' for ''occasionnal '' losses.
You can throw all the tonnage you want out there....won't change a thing other than the size of your debacle if you don't have sufficient yields and well managed expenses ( which by the way includes interest on your capital expenditure)..
In a nutshell.

IMO

Cheers
Claude


Posts: 173 | From: vancouver, b.c. Canada | Registered: Apr 2005  |  IP: Logged
mike sa
First Class Passenger
Member # 5957

posted 03-14-2007 09:45 AM      Profile for mike sa   Author's Homepage   Email mike sa   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
For clarity.

Star do not own NCLs new ships, indeed once they bought NCL they simply leveraged finance from the banks to build new ships - the banks own the ships and NCL have to pay for them ever month.

The idea was we buy NCL, we build new tonnage we assume we can fill them at fares we can make profit from them (heh everyone else is so how can we go wrong) - they pay for themselves it costs us nothing and we make more money and / or we build a product with decent revenue we can sell and turn a quick few bucks.

Ooops.

If you are going to get into the shipping / cruising business it helps if you have a passion for it rather than a passion for casinos in parts of the world with dodgy partners.

OK I don't know for a fact the Mr H is dodgy but he is certainly not popular in Singapore.

Fact is I am not convinced that the team at NCL really have a passion for doing what they are doing, it certainly seems as if they lack a good plan. Great ships, poor software often, lack of financial controls and I would draw a paralell between Cunard prior Carnival and NCL now.

PS. Prior to Carnival Cunard was busy opening their own sea cocks ! In good part because no one who managed it really cared about it. NCL - fire your team, buy in a pile of people from Carnival, RCI, etc and go to it, hell even Oceania (a new start up) is making money, how the hell can't you - shame.


Posts: 2272 | From: Durban, South Africa | Registered: Sep 2005  |  IP: Logged
Malcolm @ cruisepage
Cruise Director
Member # 301

posted 03-14-2007 12:25 PM      Profile for Malcolm @ cruisepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by mike sa:
.. it certainly seems as if they lack a good plan.

It would seem that they have underestimated the set-up difficulties, costs and appeal of their NCLA operation.

They obviously wanted to exploit their inter-island ‘monopoly’ as quickly as possible, so deployed three ships in Hawaiian waters at breakneck speed.

It would appear from the recent news about falling occupancy rates that they have over-estimated the strength market. Their 'monopoly' is also being challenged by ships sailing from the west coat to Hawaii and offering lower fares.

Judging from the reader’s reviews that I have seen recently, they have yet to resolve staffing issues, ship cleanliness and quality of food. This can’t help bookings. O.K. it’s not over ‘until the fat lady sings’, but I can here her warming up her vocal chords.

[ 03-14-2007: Message edited by: Malcolm @ cruisepage ]


Posts: 19210 | From: Essex (Just Outside London) | Registered: A Long Time Ago!  |  IP: Logged
Fairsky
First Class Passenger
Member # 781

posted 03-14-2007 04:25 PM      Profile for Fairsky   Email Fairsky   Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
This is total speculation...

Star is not thrilled with NCL's performance and may be open to selling the brand. MSC is downsizing their North American operation while still growing in Europe and South America.

MSC might benefit from having a more familiar and established brand in the North American market. NCL might benefit from being owned by a shipping company with a passion for cruising rather than casinos.

Could we see an new merger/sale in the near future? Personally, I think an MSC/NCL merger would be fantastic.


Posts: 1685 | From: Chicago, Illinois | Registered: Jul 99  |  IP: Logged

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